Every election,
small or large says something. It is certainly a celebration time for NCP
(Nationalist Congress Party) in general and its strongman in Navi Mumbai Ganesh
Naik in particular as it retained its 20 year reign in the Rs. 2,000-crore Navi Mumbai Municipal
Corporation (NMMC) in the recently concluded NMMC civic polls.
Out of 111 seats, the jubilant NCP bagged
52 seats followed by Shiv Sena with 38 seats, Congress got 10 seats while BJP
could manage only 6 seats and rest 5 seats went to Independents.
Undoubtedly it's
not only a period of melancholy but also the time for deep introspection for
BJP for its abysmal poor show in the above election.
No doubt Navi Mumbaihas always been a NCP strong hold more clearly considered as
NCP leader of Navi Mumbai, Ganesh Naik's land of monarchy. But it is equally a
truth that it had faced a severe drubbing duringLok
Sabha polls and Assembly polls last year. So NMMC civic polls
were considered as litmus test for him and his party since it is in power since
last three terms.
However for BJP it
is certainly a huge set back. The reasons I could conclude for this appalling
tallies are:
1.BJP should have fought this election alone: I think BJP could have fared much better
had it gone solo for this election instead of a Sena-BJP alliance. It only
helped NCP to explore positive prospect of it. Even Manda Mhatre, the BJP MLA
fromBelapur constituency
was against this alliance. I think the top leadership should have given heed to
her.
2.Spoilt sport played by Sena rebellions: Because of the Mahayukti, many aspiring
Sena candidates were denied ticket. At least 41 rebellion Sena candidates
contested the election on a front floated as the
Navi MumbaiVikas Agahdi which cost BJP dearly
as many of its candidate lost with narrow margins as it decreased its vote
counts.
3.NCP and Congressfought this election individually. So it benefited NCP.
4.The Bickering in BJP: It is no secret by now that BJP has always this internal
rift problem that always impacts its poll prospects. In the civic polls also
the internal sabotage in BJP played its part to lower its tallies.
5. Also NCP fought this election on
"development" sloganwhich is actually a BJP's plank. But NCP made it successfully
"Performance for Development Vs Promise for Development" line which
Sena-BJP could hardly crack.
6. Some of my
friends also opine that the hate speech by Sena leaders also affected BJP's
prospects. It seems BJP's lose has actually resulted in Sena's gain.
Even in vote share
BJP suffered badly in comparison to last year's LS polls and Assembly polls.
Also only 48.35% of the registered voters polled in this election which always
gives an edge to ruling party (less than 50% means an edge to the ruling
party). In last assembly polls, BJP had scored 1, 00,721 votes while in this
election only 39,143 voted for it. So losing out 62,578 votes in just couple of
months is surely and should be a matter of major concern.
Though Shiv Sena
also lost some of its vote base but still it was successful to double its tally
in comparison to last Civic elections. Definitely the lost votes of BJP
benefited NCP in retaining its power and Sena to improve its tally. Also the
Congress was able to increase slightly its vote share though its tally went
down by 3.
At last what I
feel is, now it has become an established fact that BJP can fare well only
against Congress but it still has a long way to go when it is about fighting
with regional parties. I mean in a direct fight with Congress, BJP has
definitely an edge but to wrestle with regional parties it has to chalk out its
strategy seriously.
Navi Mumbai was
never a BJP's forte. So from just one in last civic elections to 6 seats in
these recently concluded elections is also not bad. I wish they work for the
betterment of the satellite city and win their confidence. But had it gone
alone, I think there would have been better numbers with BJP.